Feb
18
Posted on 02-18-2008 at 09:06am
Filed Under (Government & Politics) by Jim Voorhies on 02-18-2008

Many conservatives seem to feel that the Republican Party has lost its way. They are unhappy with the things the President has passed, expanding Medicare with prescription drugs, proposing amnesty for illegal aliens, signing campaign-finance reform legislation and, if that wasn’t enough, John McCain seems to be the Republican nominee. McCain has voted with (gasp!) Democrats on some things and isn’t considered a true conservative.

However, these same policies that conservatives oppose are very popular with people. The approval rating for prescription drugs under Medicare is in the 80%-90% range. The Bush tax cut, which conservatives think needs to be made permanent, is considered as not worth it by a majority of citizens who would prefer balancing the budget. The one area where conservatives and the President are most aligned, foreign policy, is also the one area where people believe less in what’s happening. Only 32% believe military action can reduce the risk of terrorism. Belief in whether we are winning or losing the war on terror is dead even, dropping substantially in the last two years. Surveys in 2006 and 2007 show that the new generation is more Democratic than Republican and that they feel the obligation to always vote.

Conservatism arose in a time when the marginal tax rate went as high as 70%, the economy was stagnant and the government regulated the price of gasoline, air ines, natural gas, TV and a host of other things. Over the last 30 years a lot has changed. Reagan became President, tax rates were cut and cut again and many things no longer regulated, but at the same time, the world went and changed on us. The evil spectre of Communism died everywhere. (Well, except for Cuba, where our policies have kept it alive, though starving.)

The economy has been its most robust ever and few of us have benefited. Sure we make more money now than we may have ever dreamed we would, but inflation grew faster, so we’re having a hard time keeping up. The disparity between people at the top end of the economy and those at the lower end is greater than ever before. People are worried that our companies can do what we do for a whole lot less in India or somewhere else. Some of us are already living with that reality. We look to the future and realize our retirement plan involves winning the lottery.

We see and hear conservatives saying there is no global warming but we live in a weather system that seems terrifyingly different than any we’ve ever experienced before. I’ve always lived in Middle Tennessee. Before I turned thirty - or even forty - I recall less than a handful of tornadoes - far fewer than we’ve had this month alone. Part of that may be my memory, but I do not remember this level of devastation. I remember building snow forts as a child because there was always enough snow almost every year. I don’t know if it is or isn’t all due to global warming and damage we’ve done to the environment. But I do know our leaders aren’t doing much about it. Fact is, they aren’t doing much about anything.

We’re totally dependent on oil from overseas, have been for over 30 years, and all we see are auto manufacturers selling SUVs and moaning about increasing fuel economy standards. The Beloitte College mindset of it’s incoming student class indicated that for this new generation, Chevrolet has always been about to release an all electric car. They see both corporations and the government as making promises over and over and never intending to fulfill them.

I think the times, they are a changin’. Seems as if they need to.

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Comments

Slartibartfast on 18 February, 2008 at 9:21 am #

Jim, you’re no kid, you should know better. Let’s face it, 1994 wasn’t that long ago. ‘The era of big government is over’ and all that.

There is an ebb and flow to these things. I’ve seen the pendulum swing about 4 or 5 times in my lifetime alone.

Liberalism is definitely rising again (who would have thought that in 1994?), but mark my words, it will overreach its hand, probably sooner rather than later. That’s just how these things go.

We Americans been having discussions about what role the federal government should play in our lives for about 250 years. And there have been about 50 or so times in American history where short-sighted people considered the question ’settled’.

In the grand sweep of American history, this moment is a mere blip. Sure, we’ll have a superficial “first” in November, but the underlying philosophical questions will still be there, and in 10 or 15 years, someone will post a question asking, “Is liberalism dead?”


Slartibartfast on 18 February, 2008 at 9:27 am #

Oh, and the most terrifying year for tornados in Middle Tennessee was 1974:

http://www.publicaffairs.noaa.gov/storms/tennessee.html


Jim Voorhies on 18 February, 2008 at 9:35 am #

I was overseas then. No wonder I didn’t remember it. Were they as common then? I don’t remember that they were.

The pendulum has swung back and forth, but not all that much recently. I think the swings of the future will be dampened as a reaction to the discord between the two parties but that may be wishful thinking - or senility- creaping in.


Eric on 18 February, 2008 at 9:36 am #

Slarti, well put. couldn’t have said it better.

Jim: You tanked up on the Clinton cool-aid this morning, didn’t you? :-Þ


Lesley on 18 February, 2008 at 9:41 am #

Hey, people are reading and commenting on this blog after all.

You know what else I don’t remember from my childhood? Entire school systems shutting down “due to illness.” I mean, what the…? I do remember having to get re-vaccinated for mumps in high school, but never did we miss school because everyone was sick. Nor was there ever a case of bacterial meningitis. And I grew up in Memphis, not some small town.


nm on 18 February, 2008 at 10:16 am #

People might comment more if you put back the Recent Comments feature. Some of us just aren’t going to keep scrolling back to a post, clicking through to the comments, and then scrolling down to see whether anything is new. And we’re not going to keep playing around with feed readers. Indulge us, huh?


Slartibartfast on 18 February, 2008 at 10:25 am #

This may be the only time you’ll ever see nm and I campaigning for the same thing. :)

Please reinstate the recent comments! Pretty please?


nm on 18 February, 2008 at 10:47 am #

Oh, no, Slarti, I’m pretty sure we can both get on board the More Korean Restaurants ticket.


badbadivy on 18 February, 2008 at 11:27 am #

Alright, alright, you win this round, people. ;)


Joe P. on 18 February, 2008 at 11:32 am #

i don’t know if the Republican party lost it’s way so much as that a lot of the ‘94 Conservative office-holders claimed a moral high ground and then found it impossible to legislate “values” and led the party into a maze of scandals, social engineering experiments, and a disregard for the Constitution.

there have been bribe scandals, business scandals, sex scandals, a GOP majority in Congress who had zero fiscal restraint, that expanded an historic intrusion of government into every nook and cranny of American life, and which mandated revisions of basic Constitutional tenets … then the blame-throwing at media, at judicial decisions, demonizing the other political party, and other such examples also showed a failure to accept responsibility for their own errors and a lack of leadership skills.


smd on 18 February, 2008 at 12:10 pm #

Ivy,

Let me be the first to say thank you!!


nm on 18 February, 2008 at 12:15 pm #

Smooches for Ivy! Big sloppy wet ones!


[…] She’s listening. The “recent comments” section is back. Share and Enjoy: These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can share and discover new web pages. […]


[…] at Music City Bloggers asks the question “Is Conservatism Dying?” He mentions the nomination of McCain as an example, but as much as we conservatives […]


Slartibartfast on 18 February, 2008 at 12:37 pm #

I heart Ivy.

BTW, I have no doubt that the modern conservative movement is about to spend an amount of time in the desert.

However, it is also a given that liberals will misread this as “America wholly believes what they believe”, and they’ll make attempts to remake America into Europe light, forgetting the truism that Americans hate soccer, socialized anything, drinks with no ice, and Continental smugness.

We will then do what we always do as a country in times like these - emulate the Japanese.


nm on 18 February, 2008 at 12:48 pm #

Slarti, are you suggesting that the good people of the heartland, where there are soccer leagues all over the place, aren’t American? Is this a slam against German-Americans? I’m shocked….


[…] what Jim Voorhies is saying: Conservatism arose in a time when the marginal tax rate went as high as 70%, the economy was […]


Slartibartfast on 18 February, 2008 at 1:08 pm #

nm, let me clarify. I meant “soccer as national sport”. I’ve known enough soccer moms in my time to know that most of them choose the sport because they mistakenly think there’s less chance little Wolfchase or little Courtney will get hurt.

But, when Courtney and Wolfchase grow up, they end up watching football and March Madness with everyone else.

Want to go to Gerst Haus?

We need to have a blogger gathering where there is an abundance of spätzle and beer.


Jim Voorhies on 18 February, 2008 at 1:09 pm #

… the modern conservative movement is about to spend an amount of time in the desert.

However, it is also a given that liberals will misread this…

without a doubt in both cases. These days middle of the road has taken on the hue of liberal.


Lesley on 18 February, 2008 at 1:53 pm #

Slarti, we already had a mini-meetup at Gerst Haus and we, um hated it.


Ned Williams on 18 February, 2008 at 3:36 pm #

No, Conservatism is just “reloading.” And on many of the issues you referenced, the policy arguments have not been made in a compelling fashion. Ironically, I think that someone like McCain may be able to make them in a compelling fashion (e.g., insufficient revenue isn’t gov’t’s problem, and spending restraint is a Conservative, not Liberal, value). I think progress almost always moves at a 3-steps-forward-2-steps-back pace.


claudia on 18 February, 2008 at 3:37 pm #

lesley, hate is too kind…


Tennesseefree.com » A Costly Victory Perhaps on 19 February, 2008 at 7:17 am #

[…] Stooksbury has linked to this post, in which I refuted Jim’s statement that conservatism is dying, by declaring it […]


Neil on 19 February, 2008 at 10:16 am #

You could have titled this post “proof by anecdote.” Unfortunately, that logical fallacy is ubiquitous among candidates and the media that report on them.


Jim Voorhies on 19 February, 2008 at 11:00 am #

Had my purpose been to prove something, I might have been a better title. Since my purpose was to start discussion and comments, I didn’t.


Neil on 19 February, 2008 at 12:22 pm #

Sorry, as a first-time visitor to this blog, I am not acclimated to the dynamic here. You are right, I suppose - drawing vague and nebulous conclusions using logical fallacies is likely to provoke comment. See, e.g. the NYTimes editorial page or any talking heads news show. Here’s hoping you experience Chris Matthews-like success rather than ‘Crossfire’-like failure.


Ned Williams on 19 February, 2008 at 12:40 pm #

Neil, Jim,
Before this gets out of hand . . .

Here’s this a pic of the waitresses at the Gerst Haus gathering . . . looks like fun to me.


democommie on 19 February, 2008 at 5:15 pm #

Neil:

I’m guessing you’re not a liberal.